Baccarat Dragon 7 Counting
- I first considered if the Dragon 7 baccarat side bet was susceptible to a card counting methodology in mid-2011 when it was exclusively a proprietary side bet owned by DEQ that was associated with the commission free baccarat variant EZ Baccarat. Since that time, the patent for both EZ Baccarat and the Dragon 7 bet have expired (see this post). Naturally, Shuffle Master (SHFL, Bally, whatever.
- The EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 side bet can be beaten with a true JSTAT Count (2-9=+1 and 10-K=-2) of +4 with less 8′s or 9′s left than normal. Also, when two or more 8′s or 9′s per deck than average (an 8 or 9 averages every 6.5 cards) are depleted with an even JSTAT Count, gives us the Dragon 7 advantage.
- The Dragon/Fortune 7 baccarat side bet (DF7) is simple to describe. This side bet pays 40-to-1 if the Banker’s three-card total of 7 wins the hand, otherwise the bet loses. Analysis of the wager consists of a straight forward cycle through all possible hands. The table below gives the analysis for eight decks.
Card Counting the Dragon Side Bet in EZ Baccarat By Eliot Jacobson Ph.D., © 2011 The Dragon Side Bet for EZ Baccarat is simple to describe. This side bet pays 40-to-1 if the dealer’s three-card total of 7 beats the player, otherwise the bet loses.
On This Page
Introduction
I first saw EZ Baccarat on July 3, 2004, at the Plaza in Las Vegas. Since then it has picked up many more placements and has become one of the most popular baccarat variants.
Rules
Baccarat Dragon 7 Counting Chart
The rules followed standard baccarat except on the Banker bet: (1) all wins pay even money, and (2) if the banker wins with a three-card total of 7, then the banker bet will push. There are a couple of side bets added, the Dragon 7 and Panda 8, which are explained below.
The following table shows the possible outcomes of the Banker bet, based on eight decks. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 1.02%
Banker Bet
| Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banker win (except on 3-card 7) | 1 | 2,179,619,555,108,870 | 0.436064 | 0.436064 |
| Banker win on 3-card 7 | 0 | 112,633,011,329,024 | 0.022534 | 0.000000 |
| Tie | 0 | 475,627,426,473,216 | 0.095156 | 0.000000 |
| Player wins | -1 | 2,230,518,282,592,250 | 0.446247 | -0.446247 |
| Total | 0 | 4,998,398,275,503,360 | 1.000000 | -0.010183 |
Dragon 7
The Dragon 7 bets wins on a Banker winning three-card total of seven. The following table shows the probability and return of each event, based on eight decks. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 7.61%.
Dragon 7
| Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 40 | 112,633,011,329,024 | 0.022534 | 0.901353 |
| Loss | -1 | 4,885,765,264,174,340 | 0.977466 | -0.977466 |
| Total | 4,998,398,275,503,360 | 1.000000 | -0.076113 |
Panda 8
The Panda 8 bets wins on a Player winning three-card total of eight. The following table shows the probability and return of each event, based on eight decks. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 10.19%.
Panda 8
| Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 25 | 172,660,763,262,976 | 0.034543 | 0.863580 |
| Lose | -1 | 4,825,737,512,240,380 | 0.965457 | -0.965457 |
| Total | 4,998,398,275,503,360 | 1.000000 | -0.101876 |
Baccarat Dragon 7 Counting Worksheets
Internal Links
- Main baccarat page.
- Baccarat appendix 6 — Other versions of commission free baccarat.
- Baccarat side bets.
- Card Counting the Dragon 7 Bet.
- Card Counting the Panda 8 Bet.
Written by:Michael Shackleford
Dragon Bonus is by far the most popular and common side bet. Like other side bets, you can bet before the cards are dealt. You can wager either on the player or on the banker but not on both parties simultaneously. The name of this side bet is borrowed from the dragon’s strength to annihilate the opponent completely. This side bet allows you to wager on the player or banker, whoever wins not by mere 1-2 points but a knockdown win by many points. You win if the side you have betted wins by a natural or precise 9 points.
Three betting positions
There are three gambling situations for players sitting for the game of baccarat; the Player, the Banker, and the Tie. These are the possible outcomes of the game of baccarat. To start the game, two cards are dealt with each one player. The first card is dealt with the player, the subsequent to the banker, third again to the player, and the fourth one to the banker. The dealer will declare the total of the cards of the player hand first, then of the banker. The highest and lowest possible total of any hand is 9 and 0 respectively. If the total of both hands are equal, then it is treated as Tie. The total of the first two cards will determine the hand will receive the third card or not. To know more click any site like https://sbobetasia55.com.
Tens, jack, king, and queen cards are treated as zero or “nothing.” Any other cards are treated on their par value. Any total which adds up more than nine will be considered as zero instead of 10. The third card rule determines if the Banker will receive a third card or not.5% is deducted from the banker`s side if he wins, which is called “commission.” Both players, the banker, and the player will either have a “Stand Hand” and a “Draw Hand,” depending on the first two cards dealt with them. The cards are summed up using the last figure only; the hand closest to 9 wins the game. In this scenario, 17 becomes 7, 10 becomes 0, and 19 becomes 9. If both players have the same total, then the game is Tie, neither hand wins nor lose. Ace is valued as 1; 2 to 9 on their face value and tens and face cards as 0.
New versions
The game of baccarat has changed enormously. Not only there are numerous new edition of the original game, but also of side and bonus bets. The most common side bets available in online casinos are; Progressive bets, Pair bets, Small or Big bets, Dragon Bonus bet, Sum bonus bet, Tie bonus bet, and Egalite bet. These side bets mitigate the monotonous of the game and keep the adrenaline running high. Progressive bets is probably the fascinating betting version where the cash reward augment continuously. Pair bets have many variations like Perfect pair, Players` Pair/ Bankers` Pair, Any pair. Baccarat is one of the simplest forms of card games for which you need not have special skills, but lady luck on your side.