Laying The Correct Score Market
Football Betting – Laying Over 2.5 Goals
A popular trading strategy on betting exchanges is laying the over 2.5 goals market on a football match.
Exchanges such as Betfair offer this market allowing you to lay on whether a specific match will finish with over or under 2.5 goals.
This market is available on the majority of football matches on Betfair and it is a popular market for both normal punters and professional traders, making it an ideal betting strategy to start with.
Hey guys, I am looking for a strategy mentioned by Peter in one of his videos on Youtube, but I can't locate which video it was. He was talking about the correct score market, and if I remember correctly laying the scores 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 and then trading out after 10-12 minutes the match starts, which looked a solid strategy.
The market is settled on the number of goals in a football match (excluding extra-time) and the market goes in-running, allowing customers to bet on the outcome in-play.
The strategy is based on the principle that after a football match kicks off, the market for over/under 2.5 goals changes in line with the likelihood of the match finishing with either over or under 2.5 goals.
In reality, you cannot have half or 0.5 of a goal – the number 2.5 is the indicator between 0, 1 or 2 goals for under, and 3 or more goals for over.
When a match kicks off, the time clock starts ticking and with that, there is constantly less and less time for either side to score a goal.
For example, if neither side has scored a goal in the first half, then the likelihood of there being over 2.5 goals scored by the time the match finishes is less likely than at the start of the match.
- Using the back to lay correct score trading method you can back a correct score before kick-off and lay it in-play at lower odds. To do this, you will need to back a score which has both teams scoring, such as 1-1. If you expect this score to trade lower in-play it makes a good bet.
- Correct score trading on Betfair - How to make money from Betfair trading, and my views on trading the 1-1 and 2-1 market on Betfair, backing and laying.
- Lay the drawLay the draw trade out methods. Lay the draw is one of the most popular market entry points in football trading. I’m sure that you probably think you know that system already?
- Konyaspor v Besiktas - Match Odds Market - Be. Do it ALL in Correct Score -Lay the Draw w.
If there are two early goals scored in the match, however, then the likelihood of there being over 2.5 goals scored by the time the match finishes is more likely than at the start of the match.
So, with this in mind, when a match kicks off and the markets go in-play, the odds will change as the match progresses and it becomes more apparent as to what the possible outcome will be.
At the start of the match, the odds on whether the match will end in over or under 2.5 goals tend to be close together.
As the match progresses, however, they change, with one shortening in price and the other drifting in price, in direct relation to what is occurring in the match.
To look to guarantee a profit when laying under the 2.5 goals market, you lay (bet on that event not occurring) under 2.5 goals before the match kicks off, and then look to back (place a bet on that event occurring) under 2.5 goals at a larger price in-running after hopefully an early goal has been scored.
There can be a number of reasons why a match may end in over 2.5 goals.
The teams involved in a specific match may have strikers who are in scoring form or the teams as a whole might both be scoring a lot of goals.
In this instance, it is likely that matches involving these teams are likely to end with over 2.5 goals being scored.
Laying Correct Score
In this video, I show you how to use the correct score market to place an insurance bet in certain matches when
– the underdogs are leading 1-0
– there is a chance, based on the research, that the underdog could conceivably hold out for a 1-0 win.
The above scenario came to the fore most recently this weekend when subscribers who joined me in the live chat, expressed interest in my “insurance bet” on Sunderland when they led Manchester City 1-0.
The accompanying video shows you the mechanics of the insurance bet , whose purpose is to
– ensure you break even in the final score is 1-0 to the underdog
Laying The Correct Score Marketing
-profit if the favourite team score the next goal.